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September 2006

 

East Bay Analysis

 

SNAPSHOT

 
 

GDP & CORPORATE PROFITS

 
 

COST OF LIVING

 
 

WORKFORCE AND EMPLOYMENT

 
 

EAST BAY PAYROLL EMPLOYMENT BY SECTOR

 
 

HOUSING

 
 

CONSTRUCTION PERMITS

 
 

HOTEL OCCUPANCY

 
    
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The Contra Costa Council

 

Alameda County Waste Management Authority

 

 

The Cities Of:
Alameda
Antioch
Albany
Berkeley
Brentwood
Dublin
Emeryville
Fremont
Hayward
Livermore
Newark
Oakland
Piedmont

Pittsburg

Pleasant Hill
Pleasanton
Richmond
San Leandro

San Ramon
Union City and
Alameda County

 
 
 

 

Contact Information
Keith Sutton
Business Development Director

Stephanie Brown

Economic Development Analyst

 
 

EDAB
1221 Oak St.,
Ste. 555
Oakland. CA 94612
(510) 272-6843 srbrown@edab.org
www.edab.org

Building Resources, Businesses and  Quality Jobs.

Serving the East Bay the Bright Side of the San Francisco Bay

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EAST BAY SEPTEMBER 2006 MONTHLY ANALYSIS

The East Bay Monthly Analysis augments the East Bay Quarterly Forecast authored by the UCLA Anderson Forecast.  A free subscription and downloads of both monthly and quarterly reports are available at www.edab.org/newsletter.html.  East Bay EDA welcomes your comments and suggestions.  Send your comments, questions or suggestions to stephanie@eastbayeda.org or call us at (510) 272-6843.

For a more printable (PDF) version of this newsletter, click here.

SNAPSHOT

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The East Bay unemployment rate was 4.5% in August, down from 4.7% in July
 

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Between August 2005 and August 2006, the East Bay showed the largest year-over-year growth since August 2000 by adding 23,300 payroll jobs
 

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East Bay home sales continued to slow, and home sale prices fell in year-over-year comparisons
 

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East Bay residential construction permit values reached record highs due to large numbers of multi-family residential permits issued in Oakland, Dublin and Emeryville
 

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East Bay hotels enjoyed increases in occupancy and daily room rates

 

GDP & CORPORATE PROFITS

Real gross domestic product -- the output of goods and services produced by labor and property located in the United States -- increased at an annual rate of 2.6 percent in the second quarter of 2006, according to final estimates released by the Bureau of Economic Analysis.  In the first quarter, real GDP increased 5.6 percent.

Profits from current production (corporate profits with inventory valuation and capital consumption adjustments) increased $22.7 billion in the second quarter, compared with an increase of $175.6 billion in the first quarter.

(Click here for more on GDP and Corporate Profits).

COST OF LIVING

The Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) increased 0.2 percent in August, before seasonal adjustment, according to the Bureau of Labor Statistics.  The August level of 203.9 (1982-84=100) was 3.8 percent higher than in August 2005.

(Click here for more on CPI).

 

BAY AREA UNEMPLOYMENT, WORKFORCE & EMPLOYED RESIDENTS

The unemployment rate in the Oakland-Fremont-Hayward Metropolitan District was 4.5 percent in August 2006, down from 4.7 percent in July 2006, and below the year-ago estimate of 5.1 percent.  This compares with an unadjusted unemployment rate of 4.9 percent for California and 4.6 percent for the nation during the same period. 

In August there were 11,200 fewer workers in the East Bay’s labor force than in July, in San Francisco’s there were 6,100 fewer, and San Jose, 3,300 fewer.  A year-over-year comparison of August 2006 with August 2005 shows the East Bay with 27,300 fewer, San Francisco with 7,500 less and San Jose with 11,400 fewer.  After three months of gains leading into July, losses in August were quite steep.

(Click here for more on Bay Area Workforce, Employed Residents & Payroll).


EAST BAY PAYROLL EMPLOYMENT BY SECTOR

 

 

 

Between August 2005 and August 2006, the East Bay showed the largest year-over-year growth since August 2000 by adding 23,300 jobs, while San Francisco added 9,600, and San Jose 5,300.

* Construction showed the 29th consecutive month of year-over growth by adding 7,100 jobs.  Specialty trade contractors accounted for the bulk of the gains (up 3,900 jobs).

* Professional and business services reported the largest August to August growth since 2000 by picking up 3,600 jobs, mostly in employment services (up 2,400 jobs).

* Educational and health services grew by 3,300 jobs.  Gains were scattered throughout educational services (up 1,500 jobs) and health care and social assistance (up 1,800 jobs), which includes hospitals and nursing and residential care facilities.

* Trade, transportation, and utilities added 2,600 jobs, predominantly due to the expansion in retail trade (up 2,400 jobs).

(Click here for more on East Bay Payroll Employment by Sector).

HOUSING

Home sales in the Bay Area declined again in August, as prices continued to level off.

A total of 9,128 new and resale houses and condos were sold in the nine-county region last month. That was up 14.9 percent from 7,941 for July, and down 24.9 percent from 12,154 for August last year, according to DataQuick Information Systems.

Last month was the slowest August since 1997 when 9,080 homes were sold. DataQuick's statistics go back to 1988: the slowest August was in 1992 with 6,326 sales, the strongest was in 2003 with 12,488. The average August sales count since 1988 is 9,530.

(Click here for more on Housing).

 

CONSTRUCTION PERMITS

Total Construction

Permit Change

August ‘05 - August ‘06

Percent Change

East Bay

$185,423,452

4.3%

Napa

-$50,849,347

-14.5%

San Francisco

$1,160,420,242

44.1%

San Jose

$125,754,094

4.3%

Vallejo Fairfield

-$272,092,421

-15.9%

In August 2006 over $425 million in residential permits were issued in the East Bay, up from $187 million in July.  This increase in permit values can be attributed to the 1,438 multi-family residential permits issued in the East Bay – the majority issued in the cities of Oakland, Dublin and Emeryville.  The number of East Bay Multi-family permits issued in August is the highest number issued in any of the MSAs in over five years.  Non-residential permits were down from July 2006 in the East Bay, San Francisco and Vallejo-Fairfield MSAs, while San Jose and Napa both experienced increases. 

(Click here for more on Construction Permits).

HOTEL OCCUPANCY

The PKF Consulting report on hotel trends for July 2006 shows a 0.70 decrease in overall average room rates in Northern California. The East Bay’s average daily room rate showed a year-to-year increase of 5.5 percent, and is now ranked 7th in Northern California. Hotels in the San Jose/Peninsula area saw the largest year-to-year increase in Northern California, with average daily room rates increasing by 12.4 percent between July of 2005 and July of 2006.

(Click here for more on Hotel Occupancy).

 

 

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