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Economic Forecasts & Updates
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January 2010 Quarterly Update
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East Bay Employment
EAST BAY PAYROLL EMPLOYMENT
MONTHLY COMPARISON
According to the California Employment Development Department’s Labor Market report, Between November 2009 and December 2009, the total number of jobs in the East Bay rose by 300 jobs to reach 988,000.
- Trade, transportation, and utilities posted a net seasonal increase of 1,900 jobs, well below its average 3,500-job increase between November and December over the prior 19 years. Retail trade gained 2,100 jobs, and transportation, warehousing, and utilities added 500 jobs. In contrast, wholesale trade fell by 700 jobs, reversing its usual seasonal pattern.
- Private health care establishments boosted payrolls by 800 jobs over the month.
- Leisure and hospitality gained 700 jobs seasonally, as additions in food services and drinking places (up 800 jobs) more than offset cutbacks in accommodations (down 100 jobs).
- Meanwhile, construction fell by 2,500 jobs, a larger-than-usual seasonal decrease. More than two-thirds of the decline occurred in specialty trade contractors.
ANNUAL COMPARISON
Between December 2008 and December 2009, the total number of jobs in the East Bay receded by 31,000 or 3.0 percent.
- Private health care gained 900 jobs over the year.
- Trade, transportation, and utilities experienced its 23rd consecutive monthly loss on a year-over basis, a net drop of 7,700 jobs. Retail trade (down 3,400 jobs); wholesale trade (down 2,600 jobs); and transportation, warehousing, and utilities (down 1,700 jobs) each shed jobs compared to last December.
- Construction fell by 5,900 jobs, while the financial activities industry likewise pared 2,000 jobs.
- Professional and business services lost 4,700 jobs over the year. Services to buildings and dwellings (down 1,400 jobs) and employment services (down 1,100 jobs) together accounted for just over half the cutbacks in this major industry.
|
Dec - 09 |
1 Month Change |
12 Month Change |
12 Month % Change |
24 Month Change |
24 Month % Change |
| Educational and Health Services |
129,500 |
500 |
600 |
0.50% |
2,500 |
2.00% |
| Information |
26,800 |
-100 |
-500 |
-1.80% |
-1,300 |
-4.60% |
| Other Services |
34,600 |
200 |
-500 |
-1.40% |
-1,700 |
-4.70% |
| Trans, Warehousing & Utilities |
35,100 |
500 |
-1,700 |
-4.60% |
-3,900 |
-10.00% |
| Financial Activities |
52,800 |
200 |
-2,000 |
-3.60% |
-7,200 |
-12.00% |
| Leisure and Hospitality |
85,500 |
700 |
-2,500 |
-2.80% |
-2,900 |
-3.30% |
| Wholesale Trade |
45,000 |
-700 |
-2,600 |
-5.50% |
-3,600 |
-7.40% |
| Manufacturing |
88,100 |
-300 |
-3,400 |
-3.70% |
-7,300 |
-7.70% |
| Retail Trade |
108,200 |
2,100 |
-3,400 |
-3.00% |
-11,900 |
-9.90% |
| Government |
171,500 |
-400 |
-4,500 |
-2.60% |
-8,200 |
-4.60% |
| Professional and Business Services |
154,500 |
200 |
-4,700 |
-3.00% |
-11,600 |
-7.00% |
| Construction |
53,800 |
-2,500 |
-5,900 |
-9.90% |
-16,400 |
-23.40% |
| Total, All Industries |
988,000 |
300 |
-31,000 |
-3.00% |
-73,400 |
-6.90% |
| INDUSTRY EMPLOYMENT DATA SOURCE: California Employment Development Department |
EAST BAY CONSTRUCTION EMPLOYMENT
All subsectors of the East Bay’s construction sector, with the exception of Nonresidential Building Construction (up 200), posted losses in the year-over-year comparison - adding up to a loss of 5,900 jobs between December 2008 and December 2009.
| |
Dec-09 |
1 Month Change |
12 Month Change |
12 Month % Change |
24 Month Change |
24 Month % Change |
| Nonresidential Building |
5,600 |
0 |
200 |
3.7% |
-300 |
-5.1% |
| Highway, Street, and Bridge |
3,000 |
-500 |
-400 |
-11.8% |
-500 |
-14.3% |
| Building Foundation and Exterior Contr. |
7,800 |
-300 |
-400 |
-4.9% |
-2,500 |
-24.3% |
| Residual-Other Heavy and Civil Engineer |
3,700 |
-100 |
-800 |
-17.8% |
-1,300 |
-26.0% |
| Building Equipment Contr. |
13,300 |
-100 |
-900 |
-6.3% |
-2,100 |
-13.6% |
| Residential Building |
7,400 |
-200 |
-1,700 |
-18.7% |
-3,600 |
-32.7% |
| Other Specialty Trade Contr. |
13,000 |
-1,300 |
-1,900 |
-12.8% |
-6,100 |
-31.9% |
| Heavy and Civil Engineering |
6,700 |
-600 |
-1,200 |
-15.2% |
-1,800 |
-21.2% |
| Construction of Buildings |
13,000 |
-200 |
-1,500 |
-10.3% |
-3,900 |
-23.1% |
| Specialty Trade Contr. |
34,100 |
-1,700 |
-3,200 |
-8.6% |
-10,700 |
-23.9% |
| Construction |
53,800 |
-2,500 |
-5,900 |
-9.9% |
-16,400 |
-23.4% |
EAST BAY MANUFACTURING PAYROLL EMPLOYMENT
The East Bay’s manufacturing sector showed an overall loss of 3,400 jobs between December 2008 and December 2009 with most losses occurring in Residual-Miscellaneous Manufacturing.
| |
Dec-09 |
1 Month Change |
12 Month Change |
12 Month % Change |
24 Month Change |
24 Month % Change |
| Petroleum and Coal Products |
8,000 |
-100 |
0 |
0.0% |
500 |
6.7% |
| Chemical |
6,900 |
0 |
-100 |
-1.4% |
-300 |
-4.2% |
| Transportation Equipment |
7,000 |
0 |
-200 |
-2.8% |
-900 |
-11.4% |
| Residual-Food |
19,600 |
0 |
-300 |
-1.5% |
-1,000 |
-4.9% |
| Computer and Electronic Product |
18,100 |
0 |
-1,100 |
-5.7% |
-2,000 |
-10.0% |
| Residual-Miscellaneous |
28,500 |
-200 |
-1,700 |
-5.6% |
-3,600 |
-11.2% |
| Nondurable Goods |
34,500 |
-100 |
-400 |
-1.1% |
-800 |
-2.3% |
| Durable Goods |
53,600 |
-200 |
-3,000 |
-5.3% |
-6,500 |
-10.8% |
| Manufacturing |
88,100 |
-300 |
-3,400 |
-3.7% |
-7,300 |
-7.7% |
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